| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.5% | 71% | -20.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.3% | 42.6% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Marat Sharipov | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1628 | 1782 |
| Surface Elo | 1628 | 1782 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Elias Ymer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Thomas Fancutt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Matsuoka, Hayato | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Marat Sharipov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Hayato Matsuoka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Jack Kennedy | 3 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Lloyd Harris | 1 - 2 | Marat Sharipov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 16 Sep 06:15 |