| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.4% | 34% | +8.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 78% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.0% | 46% | +8.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 62% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.1% | 24.4% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 35.8% | 29.4% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 29.7% | 29.3% | 41.0% |
| Osnabruck | Greuther Furth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1353 | 1412 |
| Surface Elo | 1353 | 1412 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 5 | L |
| 07 Apr 2024 | Osnabruck | 2 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Greuther Furth | 4 - 0 | Osnabruck |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Osnabruck | 0 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 20 Sep 2020 | Greuther Furth | 1 - 1 | Osnabruck |
| 26 May 2020 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 2 | Osnabruck |
| 27 Oct 2019 | Osnabruck | 0 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |