| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.0% | 66% | -2.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.0% | 88% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 83.4% | 83% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 40% | +12.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.7% | 22.1% | 21.2% |
| xgboost | 80.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| logistic | 72.7% | 18.9% | 8.4% |
| Barnet | Swindon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1417 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1417 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 0.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Bristol Rovers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Walsall | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Walsall | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Crewe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Crewe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Rochdale | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Barnet | 1 - 2 | Swindon |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Swindon | 0 - 2 | Barnet |
| 01 Jan 2018 | Barnet | 1 - 2 | Swindon |
| 02 Sep 2017 | Swindon | 1 - 4 | Barnet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |