| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 78% | -18.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.9% | 71.0% |
| logistic | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Robin Bertrand | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Lorenzo Angelini | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Alexandre Aubriot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Jakub Filip | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Liam Gavrielides | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Ryan Peniston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Mae Malige | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |