OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ England League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Bradford 2.20 2 - 0 2.00 Stevenage
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.9%51%-2.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 75.4%80%-4.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.8%70%-6.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 68.3%61%+7.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 62.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.8%33.0%26.2%
xgboost39.8%30.3%29.9%
logistic48.4%26.9%24.7%
Inputs the models saw
BradfordStevenage
Elo (pre-match)15681549
Surface Elo15681549
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.00
Form trend0.60-0.10
Season points per game1.671.50
Season goals for / game0.670.50
Season goals against / game0.330.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Bradford: last 5
10 OctHLeyton Orient0 - 0D
10 OctHLeyton Orient0 - 0D
06 OctARotherham4 - 0W
03 OctAReading1 - 1D
03 OctAReading1 - 1D
Stevenage: last 5
10 OctHWigan1 - 0W
10 OctHWigan1 - 0W
06 OctHLeicester2 - 1W
22 SepAWalsall6 - 1W
19 SepALeyton Orient0 - 1L
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Bradford0 - 1Stevenage
25 Oct 2025Stevenage1 - 1Bradford
11 Feb 2023Stevenage2 - 3Bradford
17 Sep 2022Bradford3 - 0Stevenage
08 Feb 2022Stevenage0 - 1Bradford
17 Aug 2021Bradford4 - 1Stevenage
05 Apr 2021Stevenage1 - 1Bradford
26 Sep 2020Bradford2 - 1Stevenage
11 Feb 2020Bradford3 - 1Stevenage
20 Aug 2019Stevenage0 - 1Bradford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.0025.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2045.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6560.6%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC