OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-20
🎾 ATP Challenger Lisbon, Portugal Men Singles · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 10:10 UTC · finished
Patrick Schoen 1.80 0 - 2 1.80 Svyatoslav Gulin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.5%60%-3.0%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost58.0%41.9%
logistic55.2%44.8%
markovabstained: no serve/return ratings for this match
Inputs the models saw
Patrick SchoenSvyatoslav Gulin
Elo (pre-match)15411513
Surface Elo15411513
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend-0.300.60
Season points per game2.142.00
Season goals for / game1.431.33
Season goals against / game0.710.56
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Patrick Schoen: last 5
19 OctHSvyatoslav Gulin2 - 0W
19 OctHSvyatoslav Gulin0 - 2L
18 OctHFrancisco Rocha2 - 1W
12 OctHMichael Vrbensky0 - 2L
08 OctHMax Alcala Gurri0 - 2L
Svyatoslav Gulin: last 5
19 OctAPatrick Schoen0 - 2L
19 OctAAlexander Ritschard0 - 2L
19 OctAElmer Moller2 - 1W
19 OctAAndrea Pellegrino2 - 0W
19 OctAAndrej Martin2 - 1W
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Patrick Schoen2 - 0Svyatoslav Gulin
19 Oct 2026Patrick Schoen0 - 2Svyatoslav Gulin
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1047.6%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%20 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:00 UTC