| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 56% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.7% | 46.5% |
| xgboost | 21.8% | 76.9% |
| logistic | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Montréal Canadiens | Carolina Hurricanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1602 | 1720 |
| Surface Elo | 1602 | 1720 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 May | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 6 | L |
| 28 May | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 4 | L |
| 26 May | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Washington Capitals | 2 - 5 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Florida Panthers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 0 | W |
| 12 Jun | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 2 | W |
| 30 May 2026 | Carolina Hurricanes | 6 - 1 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 28 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 0 - 4 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 26 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 23 May 2026 | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 22 May 2026 | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 6 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 2 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 02 Jan 2026 | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 7 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 16 Apr 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 2 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 28 Mar 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 1 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.17 | 46.1% | 06 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 06 Oct 21:20 |