| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 53% | +0.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.1% | 45.8% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Paula Badosa | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1560 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1560 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Antonia Ruzic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Mia Pohankova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Mia Pohankova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Paula Badosa | 2 - 1 | Xiyu Wang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 25 Oct 06:15 |