| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.5% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DC | Draw or away | 76.9% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.7% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.1% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.0% | 28.3% | 38.7% |
| xgboost | 15.7% | 16.8% | 67.5% |
| logistic | 17.0% | 25.2% | 57.8% |
| Leganes | Castellon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | A | AD Cala Pozuelo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Vallecano | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Tenerife | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Orihuela CF | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Valencia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Tenerife | 5 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Tenerife | 5 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Girona | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Castellon | 2 - 0 | Leganes |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Leganes | 0 - 1 | Castellon |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Leganes | 0 - 0 | Castellon |
| 04 Oct 2020 | Castellon | 2 - 0 | Leganes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||