| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 55% | +1.0% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.7% | 77% | +2.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.2% | 70% | +2.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 76% | -16.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.2% | 21.8% | 25.1% |
| xgboost | 57.2% | 21.1% | 21.7% |
| logistic | 57.5% | 25.0% | 17.5% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1738 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 1738 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 28 Oct | H | 1 FC Nuremberg | 5 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | OFI Crete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Freiburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Paderborn | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Alemannia Aachen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Borussia M´gladbach | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 May 2026 | Stuttgart | 3 - 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 4 | Stuttgart |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Stuttgart | 3 - 4 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 01 Nov 2024 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 0 | Stuttgart |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 14 May 2023 | Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 0 | Stuttgart |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| 19 Sep 2021 | Stuttgart | 1 - 3 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.88 | 25.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.51 | 22.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.31 | 76.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |