| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 73% | -16.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.7% | 93% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.6% | 90% | -13.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 65% | -9.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 60.0% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 25.6% | 17.7% |
| logistic | 57.7% | 25.4% | 16.9% |
| Girona | Celta B | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Terrassa FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Andorra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Andorra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Espanyol Barcelona B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Sociedad | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Sociedad B | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sporting Gijon | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 7.50 | 13.3% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.50 | 13.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.20 | 19.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |