| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.3% | 88% | -14.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 93.5% | 6.5% |
| logistic | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Jakub Mensik | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1935 | 1773 |
| Surface Elo | 1935 | 1773 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 13 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Titouan Droguet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Vit Kopriva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.14 | 87.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.50 | 18.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 6.00 | 16.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Jakub Mensik | 1.18 | 84.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Lukas Neumayer | 8.80 | 11.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.80 | 17.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 6.20 | 16.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Jakub Mensik | 1.19 | 84.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Lukas Neumayer | 8.80 | 11.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.10 | 90.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.30 | 18.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.30 | 15.9% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.10 | 90.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.00 | 20.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.80 | 17.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.80 | 17.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.14 | 87.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.50 | 18.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.12 | 89.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 6.00 | 16.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Jakub Mensik | 1.10 | 90.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Lukas Neumayer | 5.10 | 19.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |