| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.6% | 50% | +8.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.5% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Adrian Andreev | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1536 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1536 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.89 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Benjamin Pietri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Ryotaro Taguchi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Oskari Paldanius | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2022 | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 0 | Raul Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |