| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.0% | 37% | +11.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 77% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.8% | 50% | +10.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 61% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.9% | 26.8% | 39.3% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 22.5% | 34.1% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 27.6% | 34.8% |
| Dundee United | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1673 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1673 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 4 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Forfar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Edinburgh City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | St Mirren | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | St Mirren | 3 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Falkirk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Annan Athletic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Alloa | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Kilmarnock | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Feb 2026 | Hibernian | 3 - 2 | Dundee United |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Dundee United | 1 - 1 | Hibernian |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Hibernian | 3 - 3 | Dundee United |
| 03 May 2025 | Hibernian | 3 - 1 | Dundee United |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Dundee United | 1 - 3 | Hibernian |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Hibernian | 1 - 1 | Dundee United |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Dundee United | 3 - 2 | Hibernian |
| 09 Apr 2023 | Dundee United | 2 - 1 | Hibernian |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Hibernian | 2 - 2 | Dundee United |
| 11 Oct 2022 | Dundee United | 1 - 0 | Hibernian |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.47 | 40.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.73 | 26.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.72 | 36.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |