| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.1% | 72% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.8% | 74.1% |
| logistic | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Billy Harris | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1682 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1682 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Marat Sharipov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Rio Noguchi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | H | Luciano Darderi | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 05 Oct 06:15 |