| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 60% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.6% | 47.3% |
| logistic | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Maxim Mrva | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1665 | 1633 |
| Surface Elo | 1665 | 1633 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Dusan Lajovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Thijs Boogaard | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |