| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 39.8% | 21% | +18.5% | |
| DC | Draw or away | 71.8% | 52% | +20.2% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.1% | 30% | +27.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 63% | -14.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.6% | 27.9% | 40.5% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 31.9% | 37.7% |
| logistic | 26.7% | 38.3% | 35.0% |
| Bari | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1407 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1407 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 189 | 2744 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 09 Nov | A | AZ Picerno | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | SS Monopoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Pisa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Potenza Calcio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | Barletta Calcio | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | S.S.D. Casarano Calcio | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Cavese 1919 | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | FC Giugliano 1928 | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Potenza Calcio | 1 - 3 | L |
| 21 Apr 2018 | Foggia | 1 - 1 | Bari |
| 26 Nov 2017 | Bari | 1 - 0 | Foggia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.70 | 21.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.59 | 62.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |