| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.6% | 47% | +7.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.0% | 46.9% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1597 | 1585 |
| Surface Elo | 1597 | 1585 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | Francesco Passaro |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | Francesco Passaro |
| 08 Jul 2024 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | Francesco Passaro |
| 07 Aug 2023 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | Francesco Passaro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |