| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.2% | 47% | -2.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 77% | -2.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.5% | 62% | -5.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 67% | -3.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.4% | 24.9% | 38.7% |
| xgboost | 28.5% | 33.0% | 38.5% |
| logistic | 31.3% | 28.3% | 40.4% |
| Stuttgart | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1684 | 1781 |
| Surface Elo | 1684 | 1781 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Hamburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Hamburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | FC Koln | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Slovan Bratislava | 3 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Hoffenheim | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Gimnastic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Espanol | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Espanol | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Gimnastica Segoviana CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Man Utd | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.98 | 25.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |