| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.3% | 70% | +6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.8% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Moise Kouame | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1756 | 1612 |
| Surface Elo | 1756 | 1612 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.73 | 2.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.55 | 1.47 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.18 | 0.87 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Ryan Seggerman | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |