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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-11

NFL · Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Tennessee Titans – 3 - 26 – Houston Texans

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	64.2%	81%	-16.4%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	35.8%	64.2%

Inputs the models saw

	Tennessee Titans	Houston Texans
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.35
form diff	-0.25
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.58
opponent strength diff	-0.04
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-10T17:00:00+00:00

Tennessee Titans: last 5

04 Oct	A	Baltimore Ravens	18 - 24	L
27 Sep	A	New York Giants	7 - 12	L
20 Sep	H	Philadelphia Eagles	20 - 24	L
13 Sep	H	New York Jets	10 - 23	L
04 Jan	A	Jacksonville Jaguars	7 - 41	L

Houston Texans: last 5

04 Oct	H	Dallas Cowboys	30 - 34	L
27 Sep	A	Indianapolis Colts	17 - 19	L
20 Sep	H	Cincinnati Bengals	6 - 20	L
13 Sep	H	Buffalo Bills	31 - 36	L
18 Jan	A	New England Patriots	16 - 28	L

Head to head

16 Nov 2025	Tennessee Titans	13 - 16	Houston Texans
28 Sep 2025	Houston Texans	26 - 0	Tennessee Titans
05 Jan 2025	Tennessee Titans	14 - 23	Houston Texans
24 Nov 2024	Houston Texans	27 - 32	Tennessee Titans
31 Dec 2023	Houston Texans	26 - 3	Tennessee Titans
17 Dec 2023	Tennessee Titans	16 - 19	Houston Texans
24 Dec 2022	Tennessee Titans	14 - 19	Houston Texans
30 Oct 2022	Houston Texans	10 - 17	Tennessee Titans
09 Jan 2022	Houston Texans	25 - 28	Tennessee Titans
21 Nov 2021	Tennessee Titans	13 - 22	Houston Texans

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	3.88	25.8%	11 Oct 12:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.28	78.1%	11 Oct 12:20

Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC