| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.2% | 75% | -15.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.9% | 96% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 81.0% | 93% | -12.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 71% | -20.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.7% | 20.6% | 19.6% |
| xgboost | 72.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% |
| logistic | 68.8% | 20.6% | 10.6% |
| Stockport | Peterboro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1550 | 1390 |
| Surface Elo | 1550 | 1390 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.29 | 0.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.71 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Sheffield Weds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Sheffield Weds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Leicester | 3 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Wigan | 4 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Luton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Doncaster | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Stevenage | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Blackpool | 0 - 4 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Stockport | 3 - 1 | Peterboro |
| 20 Nov 2025 | Peterboro | 3 - 0 | Stockport |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Peterboro | 1 - 1 | Stockport |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Stockport | 2 - 1 | Peterboro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 7.50 | 13.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |