| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.3% | 54% | +1.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.3% | 42.6% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Fabian Marozsan | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1787 | 1763 |
| Surface Elo | 1787 | 1763 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 35 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Taro Daniel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Taro Daniel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Daniel Altmaier | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct 2026 | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | Zachary Svajda |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.97 | 50.8% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |