| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 54% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Alan Magadan | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Daniel Salazar Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Jose Pereira | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Juan Sebastian Osorio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Dakotah Bobo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |