| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.5% | 55% | +2.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.9% | 39.4% |
| xgboost | 55.6% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.07 | 3.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 3.19 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Anaheim Ducks | 7 - 6 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 3 - 4 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 6 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Los Angeles Kings | 5 - 6 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 7 - 4 | W |
| 02 Apr 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 1 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 24 Dec 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 3 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 8 - 4 | Ottawa Senators |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 5 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 0 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 06 Nov 2024 | Buffalo Sabres | 5 - 1 | Ottawa Senators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 04 Nov 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.09 | 47.8% | 04 Nov 21:20 |