| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.6% | 65% | -0.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.1% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Darwin Blanch | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1719 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1719 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | J.J. Wolf | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Bryce Nakashima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Nov | H | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 24 Sep 06:15 |