OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-25

NFL · Sunday 25 October 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished

Detroit Lions – 20 - 17 – Green Bay Packers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	61.4%	66%	-4.4%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	61.4%	38.6%

Inputs the models saw

	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.03
form diff	0.00
rest diff	1.02
home field	1.00
point diff	0.14
opponent strength diff	-0.01
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-24T20:25:00+00:00

Detroit Lions: last 5

11 Oct	A	Arizona Cardinals	45 - 21	W
05 Oct	A	Carolina Panthers	26 - 32	L
27 Sep	H	New York Jets	31 - 24	W
18 Sep	A	Buffalo Bills	31 - 41	L
13 Sep	H	New Orleans Saints	31 - 30	W

Green Bay Packers: last 5

19 Oct	H	Dallas Cowboys	23 - 13	W
11 Oct	H	Chicago Bears	31 - 7	W
04 Oct	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17 - 14	W
25 Sep	H	Atlanta Falcons	14 - 35	L
20 Sep	A	New York Jets	20 - 17	W

Head to head

27 Nov 2025	Detroit Lions	24 - 31	Green Bay Packers
07 Sep 2025	Green Bay Packers	27 - 13	Detroit Lions
06 Dec 2024	Detroit Lions	34 - 31	Green Bay Packers
03 Nov 2024	Green Bay Packers	14 - 24	Detroit Lions
23 Nov 2023	Detroit Lions	22 - 29	Green Bay Packers
29 Sep 2023	Green Bay Packers	20 - 34	Detroit Lions
09 Jan 2023	Green Bay Packers	16 - 20	Detroit Lions
06 Nov 2022	Detroit Lions	15 - 9	Green Bay Packers
09 Jan 2022	Detroit Lions	37 - 30	Green Bay Packers
21 Sep 2021	Green Bay Packers	35 - 17	Detroit Lions

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
No bookmaker lines stored.

Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC