| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.4% | 63% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| logistic | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Jelena Ostapenko | Anastasia Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Taylah Preston | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Anastasia Zakharova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Tatjana Maria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Magdalena Frech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | H | Shuai Zhang | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Naomi Osaka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Renata Zarazua | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Camila Osorio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | 0 - 2 | Jelena Ostapenko |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | 1 - 2 | Jelena Ostapenko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |