| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.8% | 27% | +26.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.3% | 52% | +27.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.3% | 35% | +36.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 73% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 15.6% | 19.9% | 64.6% |
| xgboost | 29.4% | 24.6% | 46.0% |
| logistic | 20.4% | 27.8% | 51.8% |
| Cheltenham | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Salford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Salford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Accrington | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Accrington | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Chesterfield | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Everton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.24 | 80.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.90 | 25.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |