| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.1% | 64% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.2% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Sumit Nagal | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1656 | 1568 |
| Surface Elo | 1656 | 1568 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Szymon Kielan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 1 | Sumit Nagal |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | Sumit Nagal |
| 07 Aug 2023 | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | Sumit Nagal |
| 22 May 2023 | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 2 | Sumit Nagal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 22 Oct 06:15 |