| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.3% | 54% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.4% | 82% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.3% | 72% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 58% | -5.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.1% | 25.4% | 27.5% |
| xgboost | 48.7% | 24.7% | 26.6% |
| logistic | 49.9% | 28.4% | 21.7% |
| Vicenza | Reggiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1396 | 1366 |
| Surface Elo | 1396 | 1366 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 154 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Verona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Juve Stabia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Virtus Entella | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Avellino | 0 - 3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Catanzaro | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Spezia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Perugia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Latina Calcio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Sudtirol | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 May | H | Sampdoria | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 May 2021 | Vicenza | 2 - 1 | Reggiana |
| 23 Jan 2021 | Reggiana | 2 - 1 | Vicenza |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |