| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 48% | +6.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.1% | 50.8% |
| logistic | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Francesco Maestrelli | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1627 | 1657 |
| Surface Elo | 1627 | 1657 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 2.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.92 | 0.65 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Peter Makk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Gabriel Diallo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Diogo Morais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |