| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.9% | 50.4% |
| xgboost | 56.0% | 43.5% |
| logistic | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| New York Rangers | Tampa Bay Lightning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1429 | 1562 |
| Surface Elo | 1429 | 1562 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 151 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Boston Bruins | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 2 | W |
| 13 Apr | A | Florida Panthers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | Dallas Stars | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Apr | H | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 5 | L |
| 03 May | H | Montréal Canadiens | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 May | A | Montréal Canadiens | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Apr | H | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Apr | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Apr | A | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | L |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 4 | New York Rangers |
| 29 Nov 2025 | New York Rangers | 1 - 4 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 7 | New York Rangers |
| 17 Apr 2025 | New York Rangers | 4 - 0 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 07 Apr 2025 | New York Rangers | 1 - 5 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 - 2 | New York Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||