| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 50% | +3.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.9% | 61.0% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Sumit Nagal | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1682 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1682 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.91 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.88 | 53.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |