| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.9% | 93% | -28.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.8% | 38.2% |
| logistic | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| Mateus Alves | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1439 | 1365 |
| Surface Elo | 1439 | 1365 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May | A | Hernan Casanova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Marcelo Zormann Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Jul | H | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jun | H | Keenan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 May | A | Ignacio Monzon | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.50 | 15.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.08 | 92.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |