| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.7% | 78% | -11.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 71.6% | 28.3% |
| logistic | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| Duje Ajdukovic | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Jay Clarke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Carlos Lopez Montagud | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |