| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.2% | 34% | +12.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 79% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.7% | 47% | +13.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 57% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.4% | 25.0% | 35.6% |
| xgboost | 40.1% | 30.0% | 29.9% |
| logistic | 43.7% | 26.7% | 29.6% |
| Pescara | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1371 | 1388 |
| Surface Elo | 1371 | 1388 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 141 | 141 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Vado FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | SS Monopoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 May | H | Spezia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 May | A | Padova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | H | Juve Stabia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Sep | H | Vis Pesaro 1898 | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Pisa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 08 May | A | Pescara | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 May | H | Venezia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Apr | A | Catanzaro | 2 - 4 | L |
| 08 May 2026 | Pescara | 1 - 1 | Spezia |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Spezia | 2 - 1 | Pescara |
| 04 Mar 2020 | Spezia | 2 - 0 | Pescara |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Pescara | 1 - 2 | Spezia |
| 03 Mar 2019 | Pescara | 2 - 0 | Spezia |
| 19 Oct 2018 | Spezia | 1 - 3 | Pescara |
| 22 Apr 2018 | Pescara | 3 - 2 | Spezia |
| 25 Nov 2017 | Spezia | 4 - 0 | Pescara |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 27 Sep 06:15 |