| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 51% | +1.1% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.0% | 79% | -1.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.2% | 69% | +0.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 56% | -3.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.0% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.5% | 26.4% | 25.1% |
| xgboost | 50.2% | 27.5% | 22.2% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 27.8% | 18.8% |
| Fleetwood Town | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1421 | 1372 |
| Surface Elo | 1421 | 1372 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Arsenal | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Exeter | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Stockport | 0 - 0 | D |
| 07 Nov | A | Barnet | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Tranmere | 1 - 0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Tranmere | 0 - 0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 23 Nov 2019 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 1 | Tranmere |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |