| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 85.7% | 89% | -3.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 26.7% | 73.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 18.7% | 81.2% |
| logistic | 13.2% | 86.8% |
| Gonzalo Bueno | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1647 | 1864 |
| Surface Elo | 1647 | 1864 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.29 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 09 Jan 2023 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.13 | 88.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.40 | 18.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |