| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.0% | 70% | -10.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Otto Virtanen | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1671 | 1660 |
| Surface Elo | 1671 | 1660 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Otto Virtanen | 1 - 2 | Vitaliy Sachko |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Otto Virtanen | 2 - 0 | Vitaliy Sachko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |