OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-07
🎾 ATP Stockholm, Sweden Men Singles · Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:40 UTC · finished
Karl Friberg 1.20 0 - 2 1.20 Toby Samuel
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 76.7%89%-12.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov18.6%81.4%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost23.5%76.4%
logistic20.8%79.2%
Inputs the models saw
Karl FribergToby Samuel
Elo (pre-match)14541682
Surface Elo14541682
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.20
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.500.00
Season goals for / game1.500.00
Season goals against / game1.502.00
Rest days41
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Karl Friberg: last 5
05 NovAAndrej Nedic0 - 2L
03 NovAGabriel Ghetu2 - 0W
28 OctAAlexander Chang0 - 2L
07 OctAOleg Prihodko1 - 2L
24 SepHHenry Bernet0 - 2L
Toby Samuel: last 5
05 NovAJurij Rodionov0 - 2L
04 NovALukas Pokorny2 - 0W
02 NovAJurij Rodionov0 - 2L
02 NovALukas Pokorny2 - 0W
29 OctAClement Tabur0 - 1L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.1289.3%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home7.0014.3%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC