| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.0% | 83% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.8% | 22.1% |
| logistic | 79.4% | 20.6% |
| Nicolas Jarry | Maximo Zeitune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1656 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1656 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Lucio Ratti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Lucio Ratti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.05 | 24.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |