| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 64% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.8% | 38.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| logistic | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Titouan Droguet | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1839 | 1732 |
| Surface Elo | 1839 | 1732 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Borna Gojo | 1 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Borna Gojo | 1 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Borna Gojo | 1 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 23 Sep 06:15 |