OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-15

NFL · Sunday 15 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · scheduled

New Orleans Saints – 18:00 – Carolina Panthers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.9%	58%	-2.2%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	55.9%	44.1%

Inputs the models saw

	New Orleans Saints	Carolina Panthers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.01
form diff	0.00
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.10
opponent strength diff	-0.02
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-12T21:22:03.640525+00:00

New Orleans Saints: last 5

08 Nov	H	Cleveland Browns	23 - 22	W
25 Oct	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	10 - 16	L
18 Oct	A	New York Giants	34 - 27	W
11 Oct	H	Minnesota Vikings	13 - 23	L
06 Oct	H	Atlanta Falcons	24 - 45	L

Carolina Panthers: last 5

08 Nov	H	Denver Broncos	21 - 26	L
30 Oct	A	Green Bay Packers	19 - 27	L
25 Oct	H	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	13 - 43	L
18 Oct	A	Philadelphia Eagles	25 - 14	W
05 Oct	H	Detroit Lions	32 - 26	W

Head to head

14 Dec 2025	New Orleans Saints	20 - 17	Carolina Panthers
09 Nov 2025	Carolina Panthers	7 - 17	New Orleans Saints
03 Nov 2024	Carolina Panthers	23 - 22	New Orleans Saints
08 Sep 2024	New Orleans Saints	47 - 10	Carolina Panthers
10 Dec 2023	New Orleans Saints	28 - 6	Carolina Panthers
18 Sep 2023	Carolina Panthers	17 - 20	New Orleans Saints
08 Jan 2023	New Orleans Saints	7 - 10	Carolina Panthers
25 Sep 2022	Carolina Panthers	22 - 14	New Orleans Saints
02 Jan 2022	New Orleans Saints	18 - 10	Carolina Panthers
19 Sep 2021	Carolina Panthers	26 - 7	New Orleans Saints

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.72	58.1%	12 Nov 17:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.22	45.0%	12 Nov 17:20

Generated 2026-11-12 21:51 UTC