| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.2% | 80% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 15.3% | 84.6% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Mili Poljicak | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1693 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1693 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Cezar Cretu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Cezar Cretu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 0 | Mili Poljicak |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |