| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.9% | 69% | -7.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| Max Hans Rehberg | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1636 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1636 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |