| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.2% | 69% | -11.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 37.4% | 62.5% |
| logistic | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Robin Bertrand | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1527 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1527 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 53 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Joao Domingues | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Raphael Perot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Mathieu Scaglia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Martin Krumich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |