| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 58% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Omar Jasika | Petr Bar Biryukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1424 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1424 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Timofei Derepasko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Castelnuovo, Luca | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Luca Castelnuovo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Naoya Honda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Nov 2024 | Omar Jasika | 2 - 0 | Petr Bar Biryukov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |