| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 56% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.0% | 48.9% |
| logistic | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| Rio Noguchi | Daniel Michalski | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kasidit Samrej | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Alexandre Muller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Alexander Weis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Ivan Ivanov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Giovanni Oradini | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |