| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 50% | +6.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.5% | 47.8% |
| xgboost | 45.0% | 54.1% |
| logistic | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Ottawa Senators | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.16 | 4.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.11 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Washington Capitals | 2 - 3 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 2 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 6 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 1 | W |
| 11 Nov | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 - 3 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Nashville Predators | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 7 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 5 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 09 Jan 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 8 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 20 Mar 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 5 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 28 Oct 2024 | Colorado Avalanche | 5 - 4 | Ottawa Senators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 12 Nov 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.99 | 50.3% | 12 Nov 18:20 |